Can India Still Qualify for the WTC Final? A Detailed Analysis

Can India Still Reach the World Test Championship Final?

Photo by Harshil Suthar on Pexels.

India’s journey to the ICC World Test Championship (WTC) final has hit a roadblock following their Boxing Day Test loss to Australia. With a Points Percentage (PCT) of 52.77% and 114 points from 18 matches, India now sits third in the standings. Australia’s victory pushed them to second place with a PCT of 61.45%, while South Africa, topping the table, has already secured their final spot.


Current WTC Standings (Top 5)

  1. South Africa – PCT: 66.67

  2. Australia – PCT: 61.45

  3. India – PCT: 52.77

  4. New Zealand – PCT: 48.21

  5. Sri Lanka – PCT: 45.45


What India Needs to Do to Qualify

India’s qualification path is tough but not impossible. Two scenarios need to go their way:

✅ 1. Defeat Australia in the Upcoming Test

India must win the next Test against Australia (starting January 3). A draw or loss would end their hopes.

✅ 2. Sri Lanka Must Beat Australia 2-0

India also needs Sri Lanka to sweep Australia 2-0 in their upcoming series. This is a long shot but crucial.

If these two events align, India’s PCT will rise to 55.26%, which would place them above Australia and send them to the WTC Final.


What About Australia?

Australia has a much simpler qualification scenario. They can qualify by:

  • Winning or drawing one match against Sri Lanka, or

  • Winning/drawing the next match against India

One positive result in either series is enough to book their spot.


Final Thoughts

India’s path to the WTC final is narrow but not shut. They must bring their A-game against a strong Australian side and pray for favorable results in the Sri Lanka series. Australia, however, is in cruise control and only needs to avoid disaster to qualify.

The next few matches will be intense and dramatic. Can India overcome the odds and secure a place in the WTC final? Let us know what you think in the comments!

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